Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | EIU -145 LIN +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +4 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | EIU -5.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -3.6 (+0.4) | 138.3 (+13.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -1.5 (+2.5) | 138.4 (+13.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -1.7 (+2.3) | 140.7 (+11.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -1.9 (+2.1) | 140.9 (+11.1) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EIU 71 – 67 LIN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | LIN 82 – 74 EIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EIU 76 – 70 LIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | EIU 72 – 57 LIN |
| Jan 20, 2024 | EIU 78 – 68 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#310) | -9.7 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#316) | -1.31 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#306) | -2.51 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#325) | 0.444 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 25.9% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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