And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Ohio Valley Conference · Hyland Arena · February 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread LIN -2.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money LIN -140 / EIU +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIN win
Actual EIU +6 146 Lost
Massey LIN -3.4 (-9.4) — —
Massey Totals — 135.5 (+10.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 80% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✗
Baseline Plus ML LIN -2.1 (-8.1) 137.0 (+9.0) 56% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LIN -2.1 (-8.1) 135.6 (+10.4) 58% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML LIN -2.3 (-8.3) 133.9 (+12.1) 59% ✗
Baseline ML LIN -2.7 (-8.7) 134.0 (+12.0) 58% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 EIU 71 – 67 LIN
Dec 7, 2025 LIN 82 – 74 EIU
Jan 3, 2025 EIU 78 – 74 LIN
Feb 17, 2024 EIU 72 – 57 LIN
Jan 20, 2024 EIU 78 – 68 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LIN EIU
Overall 16-17 12-19
Conference 10-10 8-12
Home 11-3 7-7
Away 3-12 4-12
Neutral 2-2 1-0
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 W4
Avg Pts For 68.3 63.5
Avg Pts Against 74.2 70.2
Massey -11.2 (#330) -11.4 (#333)
Bradley-Terry -1.60 (#311) -2.42 (#340)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.51 (#329) -3.23 (#348)
RPI 0.426 (#306) 0.386 (#345)
Shooting & Four Factors LIN EIU
FG% 40.5% 40.4%
3PT% 26.4% 31.8%
REB / G 34.5 34.1
OREB / G 11.2 10.9
AST / TO 0.78 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.1% 45.1%
TOV% 19.1% 18.8%
ORB% 29.7% 29.2%
FT Rate 24.0% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.1% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 19.5%
DRB% 67.8% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.1% 30.4%

Game Analysis

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