Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Ohio Valley Conference · Hyland Arena · January 20, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread EIU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money LIN +130 / EIU -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIN win
Actual EIU +10 146 Lost
Massey EIU -1.8 (-8.2) — —
Massey Totals — 132.8 (+13.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 49% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 46% ✓
Baseline Plus ML EIU -2.5 (-7.5) 135.2 (+10.8) 32% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EIU -3.8 (-6.2) 133.6 (+12.4) 34% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML EIU -1.8 (-8.2) 133.2 (+12.8) 40% ✓
Baseline ML EIU -2.0 (-8.0) 133.7 (+12.3) 40% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 EIU 71 – 67 LIN
Dec 7, 2025 LIN 82 – 74 EIU
Feb 1, 2025 EIU 76 – 70 LIN
Jan 3, 2025 EIU 78 – 74 LIN
Feb 17, 2024 EIU 72 – 57 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LIN EIU
Overall 9-22 14-18
Conference 3-15 8-10
Home 4-10 9-6
Away 3-12 4-11
Neutral 2-0 1-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 63.4 65.3
Avg Pts Against 74.9 70.4
Massey -13.5 (#343) -8.0 (#300)
Bradley-Terry -2.09 (#334) -1.36 (#298)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.73 (#333) -1.78 (#304)
RPI 0.386 (#341) 0.449 (#264)
Shooting & Four Factors LIN EIU
FG% 38.9% 39.4%
3PT% 27.3% 33.2%
REB / G 31.4 33.8
OREB / G 8.1 11.3
AST / TO 0.51 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.9% 44.2%
TOV% 18.5% 16.6%
ORB% 22.8% 28.9%
FT Rate 30.1% 17.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 56.6%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 19.5%
DRB% 70.5% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 31.5% 28.5%

Game Analysis

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