Betting Lines
| Spread | EIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | LIN +130 EIU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +10 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | EIU -1.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EIU -3.8 (-6.2) | 133.6 (+12.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EIU -1.8 (-8.2) | 133.2 (+12.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EIU -2.0 (-8.0) | 133.7 (+12.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EIU -2.5 (-7.5) | 135.2 (+10.8) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EIU 71 – 67 LIN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | LIN 82 – 74 EIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | EIU 76 – 70 LIN |
| Jan 3, 2025 | EIU 78 – 74 LIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | EIU 72 – 57 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 4-10 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#343) | -8.0 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.09 (#334) | -1.36 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#333) | -1.78 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#341) | 0.449 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.51 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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