And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Niagara Purple Eagles
78 – 76 OT
FINAL Conference
Quinnipiac Bobcats
Metro Conference · Gallagher Center · February 27, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -8.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money NIA +310 / QUIN -395
Model Predictions
Spread Total NIA win
Actual NIA +2 154 Won
Massey QUIN -8.0 (+10.0) — —
Massey Totals — 136.5 (+17.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 13% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 7% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -6.8 (+8.8) 132.6 (+21.4) 23% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -8.2 (+10.2) 130.8 (+23.2) 20% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -7.4 (+9.4) 129.4 (+24.6) 22% ✗
Baseline ML QUIN -6.5 (+8.5) 130.9 (+23.1) 24% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 QUIN 56 – 55 NIA
Feb 8, 2025 NIA 76 – 75 QUIN
Feb 18, 2024 NIA 80 – 66 QUIN
Dec 3, 2023 QUIN 75 – 68 NIA
Feb 11, 2023 NIA 79 – 73 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NIA QUIN
Overall 8-22 19-13
Conference 5-15 12-8
Home 6-7 10-5
Away 2-14 9-7
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 63.3 74.2
Avg Pts Against 71.7 72.6
Massey -13.8 (#344) -2.8 (#211)
Bradley-Terry -2.39 (#346) 0.02 (#160)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.06 (#345) 0.06 (#162)
RPI 0.406 (#348) 0.524 (#122)
Shooting & Four Factors NIA QUIN
FG% 43.3% 42.9%
3PT% 33.5% 34.4%
REB / G 28.7 36.1
OREB / G 7.6 12.4
AST / TO 1.14 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 48.6%
TOV% 18.8% 16.1%
ORB% 24.1% 34.2%
FT Rate 18.9% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 17.9%
DRB% 67.0% 67.8%
Opp FT Rate 26.4% 23.0%

Game Analysis

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