We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -12.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money QUIN -1000 / NIA +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +1 111 Won
Massey QUIN -14.8 (-13.8)
Massey Totals 139.3 (-28.3)
Bradley-Terry 95%
Weighted B-T 98%
Efficiency Plus ML QUIN -11.0 (-10.0) 136.1 (-25.1) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -11.3 (-10.3) 134.0 (-23.0) 87%
Baseline ML QUIN -10.7 (-9.7) 134.0 (-23.0) 86%
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -10.4 (-9.4) 135.2 (-24.2) 86%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 NIA 7876 QUIN
Feb 8, 2025 NIA 7675 QUIN
Feb 18, 2024 NIA 8066 QUIN
Dec 3, 2023 QUIN 7568 NIA
Feb 11, 2023 NIA 7973 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN NIA
Overall 19-13 8-22
Conference 12-8 5-15
Home 10-5 6-7
Away 9-7 2-14
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.2 63.3
Avg Pts Against 72.6 71.7
Massey -2.1 (#198) -14.0 (#346)
Bradley-Terry 0.09 (#158) -2.35 (#347)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.16 (#151) -2.95 (#343)
RPI 0.528 (#115) 0.407 (#335)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN NIA
FG% 44.0% 42.8%
3PT% 35.2% 33.6%
REB / G 35.5 28.8
OREB / G 11.5 7.9
AST / TO 1.19 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 49.6%
TOV% 16.0% 18.3%
ORB% 32.5% 24.4%
FT Rate 22.8% 17.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 16.7%
DRB% 67.4% 67.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.4% 27.4%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.