With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -12.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money QUIN -1000 / NIA +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +1 111 Won
Massey QUIN -14.8 (-13.8) — —
Massey Totals — 139.3 (-28.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -10.4 (-9.4) 135.2 (-24.2) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -11.0 (-10.0) 136.1 (-25.1) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -11.3 (-10.3) 134.0 (-23.0) 87% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -10.7 (-9.7) 134.0 (-23.0) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 NIA 78 – 76 QUIN
Feb 8, 2025 NIA 76 – 75 QUIN
Feb 18, 2024 NIA 80 – 66 QUIN
Dec 3, 2023 QUIN 75 – 68 NIA
Feb 11, 2023 NIA 79 – 73 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN NIA
Overall 19-13 8-22
Conference 12-8 5-15
Home 10-5 6-7
Away 9-7 2-14
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.2 63.3
Avg Pts Against 72.6 71.7
Massey -2.1 (#198) -14.0 (#346)
Bradley-Terry 0.09 (#158) -2.35 (#347)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.16 (#151) -2.95 (#343)
RPI 0.528 (#115) 0.407 (#335)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN NIA
FG% 44.0% 42.8%
3PT% 35.2% 33.6%
REB / G 35.5 28.8
OREB / G 11.5 7.9
AST / TO 1.19 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 49.6%
TOV% 16.0% 18.3%
ORB% 32.5% 24.4%
FT Rate 22.8% 17.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 53.5%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 16.7%
DRB% 67.4% 67.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.4% 27.4%

Game Analysis

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