Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -11.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money QUIN -900 / NIA +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual NIA +1 151 Lost
Massey QUIN -10.7 (-11.7) — —
Massey Totals — 142.9 (+8.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -10.6 (-11.6) 140.6 (+10.4) 83% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -9.9 (-10.9) 140.1 (+10.9) 83% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -11.1 (-12.1) 140.3 (+10.7) 85% ✗
Baseline ML QUIN -9.7 (-10.7) 141.7 (+9.3) 83% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 NIA 78 – 76 QUIN
Feb 7, 2026 QUIN 56 – 55 NIA
Feb 18, 2024 NIA 80 – 66 QUIN
Dec 3, 2023 QUIN 75 – 68 NIA
Feb 11, 2023 NIA 79 – 73 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN NIA
Overall 20-13 11-20
Conference 15-5 6-14
Home 12-2 6-7
Away 7-10 3-13
Neutral 1-1 2-0
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.0 67.4
Avg Pts Against 72.2 71.6
Massey -1.8 (#190) -9.3 (#312)
Bradley-Terry -0.00 (#175) -1.66 (#314)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.11 (#181) -2.32 (#322)
RPI 0.533 (#115) 0.415 (#325)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN NIA
FG% 41.7% 44.0%
3PT% 28.9% 34.0%
REB / G 38.6 31.0
OREB / G 12.4 7.8
AST / TO 1.04 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.4% 51.4%
TOV% 17.6% 19.0%
ORB% 34.1% 24.5%
FT Rate 22.7% 20.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 17.2%
DRB% 72.5% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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