I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 8, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -11.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money QUIN -900 / NIA +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual NIA +1 151 Lost
Massey QUIN -10.7 (-11.7)
Massey Totals 142.9 (+8.1)
Bradley-Terry 90%
Weighted B-T 95%
Efficiency Plus ML QUIN -9.9 (-10.9) 140.1 (+10.9) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -11.1 (-12.1) 140.3 (+10.7) 85%
Baseline ML QUIN -9.7 (-10.7) 141.7 (+9.3) 83%
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -10.6 (-11.6) 140.6 (+10.4) 83%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 NIA 7876 QUIN
Feb 7, 2026 QUIN 5655 NIA
Feb 18, 2024 NIA 8066 QUIN
Dec 3, 2023 QUIN 7568 NIA
Feb 11, 2023 NIA 7973 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN NIA
Overall 20-13 11-20
Conference 15-5 6-14
Home 12-2 6-7
Away 7-10 3-13
Neutral 1-1 2-0
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.0 67.4
Avg Pts Against 72.2 71.6
Massey -1.8 (#190) -9.3 (#312)
Bradley-Terry -0.00 (#175) -1.66 (#314)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.11 (#181) -2.32 (#322)
RPI 0.533 (#115) 0.415 (#325)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN NIA
FG% 41.7% 44.0%
3PT% 28.9% 34.0%
REB / G 38.6 31.0
OREB / G 12.4 7.8
AST / TO 1.04 0.99
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.4% 51.4%
TOV% 17.6% 19.0%
ORB% 34.1% 24.5%
FT Rate 22.7% 20.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 52.8%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 17.2%
DRB% 72.5% 72.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.7% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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