Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | NIA +130 QUIN -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -2.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -1.8 (+7.8) | 133.9 (+18.1) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -3.1 (+9.1) | 132.2 (+19.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -1.7 (+7.7) | 133.4 (+18.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -2.3 (+8.3) | 135.3 (+16.7) | 42% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | NIA 78 – 76 QUIN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | QUIN 56 – 55 NIA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | NIA 76 – 75 QUIN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NIA 80 – 66 QUIN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | QUIN 75 – 68 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#235) | 2.4 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#194) | 0.38 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#222) | 0.61 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#194) | 0.519 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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