You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 18, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -8.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money QUIN -400 / NIA +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual NIA +14 146 Lost
Massey QUIN -7.4 (-21.4)
Massey Totals 156.8 (-10.8)
Bradley-Terry 88%
Weighted B-T 89%
Efficiency Plus ML QUIN -6.4 (-20.4) 150.9 (-4.9) 75%
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -6.2 (-20.2) 150.1 (-4.1) 77%
Baseline ML QUIN -6.2 (-20.2) 151.8 (-5.8) 75%
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -6.2 (-20.2) 152.1 (-6.1) 76%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 NIA 7876 QUIN
Feb 7, 2026 QUIN 5655 NIA
Feb 8, 2025 NIA 7675 QUIN
Dec 3, 2023 QUIN 7568 NIA
Feb 11, 2023 NIA 7973 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN NIA
Overall 24-10 16-16
Conference 15-5 11-9
Home 13-3 5-9
Away 10-5 10-6
Neutral 1-2 1-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 71.2
Avg Pts Against 71.9 72.4
Massey -0.7 (#173) -4.7 (#259)
Bradley-Terry 0.68 (#121) -0.71 (#249)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.34 (#149) -1.03 (#257)
RPI 0.544 (#104) 0.463 (#248)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN NIA
FG% 44.1% 47.0%
3PT% 34.1% 36.5%
REB / G 37.0 30.6
OREB / G 10.9 7.4
AST / TO 1.09 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 52.6%
TOV% 17.2% 17.1%
ORB% 31.3% 24.1%
FT Rate 25.6% 26.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 16.3%
DRB% 71.9% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.4% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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