Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
Metro Conference · M&T Bank Arena · February 18, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -8.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money QUIN -400 / NIA +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual NIA +14 146 Lost
Massey QUIN -7.4 (-21.4) — —
Massey Totals — 156.8 (-10.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✗
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -6.2 (-20.2) 152.1 (-6.1) 76% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -6.4 (-20.4) 150.9 (-4.9) 75% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -6.2 (-20.2) 150.1 (-4.1) 77% ✗
Baseline ML QUIN -6.2 (-20.2) 151.8 (-5.8) 75% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 NIA 78 – 76 QUIN
Feb 7, 2026 QUIN 56 – 55 NIA
Feb 8, 2025 NIA 76 – 75 QUIN
Dec 3, 2023 QUIN 75 – 68 NIA
Feb 11, 2023 NIA 79 – 73 QUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN NIA
Overall 24-10 16-16
Conference 15-5 11-9
Home 13-3 5-9
Away 10-5 10-6
Neutral 1-2 1-1
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 71.2
Avg Pts Against 71.9 72.4
Massey -0.7 (#173) -4.7 (#259)
Bradley-Terry 0.68 (#121) -0.71 (#249)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.34 (#149) -1.03 (#257)
RPI 0.544 (#104) 0.463 (#248)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN NIA
FG% 44.1% 47.0%
3PT% 34.1% 36.5%
REB / G 37.0 30.6
OREB / G 10.9 7.4
AST / TO 1.09 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 52.6%
TOV% 17.2% 17.1%
ORB% 31.3% 24.1%
FT Rate 25.6% 26.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 16.3%
DRB% 71.9% 73.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.4% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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