Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | NIA +100 QUIN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +7 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -4.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -0.3 (-6.7) | 148.4 (-5.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -2.0 (-9.0) | 149.6 (-6.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -1.4 (-8.4) | 150.3 (-7.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -1.0 (-8.0) | 150.2 (-7.2) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | NIA 78 – 76 QUIN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | QUIN 56 – 55 NIA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | NIA 76 – 75 QUIN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | NIA 80 – 66 QUIN |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NIA 79 – 73 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 5-9 | 13-3 |
| Away | 10-6 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#298) | -5.5 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#301) | 0.47 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#294) | 0.12 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#334) | 0.513 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 25.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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