Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · February 27, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money CBU -278 / UTA +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +12 124 Won
Massey CBU -5.4 (+6.6) — —
Massey Totals — 129.0 (-5.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 80% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -5.1 (+6.9) 129.0 (-5.0) 68% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -4.5 (+7.5) 130.7 (-6.7) 67% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -4.2 (+7.8) 128.9 (-4.9) 68% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -5.3 (+6.7) 129.0 (-5.0) 67% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 CBU 87 – 77 UTA
Jan 1, 2026 UTA 63 – 51 CBU
Mar 9, 2025 CBU 70 – 68 UTA
Feb 13, 2025 UTA 82 – 79 CBU
Mar 8, 2024 UTA 71 – 57 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU UTA
Overall 25-9 18-14
Conference 13-5 9-9
Home 15-0 9-4
Away 7-8 8-8
Neutral 3-1 1-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.6 67.7
Avg Pts Against 67.6 67.8
Massey 1.9 (#136) -0.6 (#174)
Bradley-Terry 1.12 (#85) 0.24 (#146)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.29 (#90) 0.32 (#142)
RPI 0.537 (#93) 0.509 (#165)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU UTA
FG% 42.2% 43.6%
3PT% 32.2% 29.8%
REB / G 40.8 35.3
OREB / G 14.5 11.5
AST / TO 0.83 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 48.3%
TOV% 18.5% 21.2%
ORB% 38.7% 34.9%
FT Rate 26.3% 30.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 47.5%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 18.1%
DRB% 73.1% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 26.3% 29.7%

Game Analysis

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