Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · February 27, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money CBU -278 / UTA +225
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +12 124 Won
Massey CBU -5.4 (+6.6)
Massey Totals 129.0 (-5.0)
Bradley-Terry 80%
Weighted B-T 82%
Efficiency Plus ML CBU -4.5 (+7.5) 130.7 (-6.7) 67%
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -4.2 (+7.8) 128.9 (-4.9) 68%
Baseline ML CBU -5.3 (+6.7) 129.0 (-5.0) 67%
Baseline Plus ML CBU -5.1 (+6.9) 129.0 (-5.0) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 CBU 8777 UTA
Jan 1, 2026 UTA 6351 CBU
Mar 9, 2025 CBU 7068 UTA
Feb 13, 2025 UTA 8279 CBU
Mar 8, 2024 UTA 7157 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU UTA
Overall 25-9 18-14
Conference 13-5 9-9
Home 15-0 9-4
Away 7-8 8-8
Neutral 3-1 1-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.6 67.7
Avg Pts Against 67.6 67.8
Massey 1.9 (#136) -0.6 (#174)
Bradley-Terry 1.12 (#85) 0.24 (#146)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.29 (#90) 0.32 (#142)
RPI 0.537 (#93) 0.509 (#165)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU UTA
FG% 42.2% 43.6%
3PT% 32.2% 29.8%
REB / G 40.8 35.3
OREB / G 14.5 11.5
AST / TO 0.83 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 48.3%
TOV% 18.5% 21.2%
ORB% 38.7% 34.9%
FT Rate 26.3% 30.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 47.5%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 18.1%
DRB% 73.1% 69.5%
Opp FT Rate 26.3% 29.7%

Game Analysis

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