Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | UTA +105 CBU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +3 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -0.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -0.9 (+3.9) | 144.9 (+16.1) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -0.4 (+2.6) | 143.3 (+17.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -0.6 (+3.6) | 144.4 (+16.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -0.7 (+3.7) | 144.5 (+16.5) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | CBU 68 – 56 UTA |
| Jan 31, 2026 | CBU 87 – 77 UTA |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UTA 63 – 51 CBU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CBU 70 – 68 UTA |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UTA 71 – 57 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 9-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#221) | 0.5 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#244) | -0.08 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#230) | -0.02 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#258) | 0.501 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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