Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UTA +105 CBU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +10 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | UTA -2.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.3 (+36.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -0.9 (-10.9) | 129.8 (+34.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -0.1 (-9.9) | 129.4 (+34.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -1.1 (-11.1) | 126.3 (+37.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -1.5 (-11.5) | 127.8 (+36.2) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | CBU 68 – 56 UTA |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UTA 63 – 51 CBU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CBU 70 – 68 UTA |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UTA 82 – 79 CBU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UTA 71 – 57 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 15-0 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#144) | 2.2 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#93) | 1.12 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#105) | 1.30 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#81) | 0.536 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 39.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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