You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Western Athletic Conference · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · March 9, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -5.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money CBU -240 / UTA +200
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +2 138 Won
Massey CBU -6.9 (-4.9) — —
Massey Totals — 148.7 (-10.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 81% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CBU -6.2 (-4.2) 144.0 (-6.0) 77% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -4.5 (-2.5) 143.1 (-5.1) 72% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -5.5 (-3.5) 143.0 (-5.0) 72% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -5.7 (-3.7) 143.3 (-5.3) 74% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 CBU 68 – 56 UTA
Jan 31, 2026 CBU 87 – 77 UTA
Jan 1, 2026 UTA 63 – 51 CBU
Feb 13, 2025 UTA 82 – 79 CBU
Mar 8, 2024 UTA 71 – 57 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU UTA
Overall 17-15 13-18
Conference 9-7 6-10
Home 11-5 9-4
Away 4-8 3-11
Neutral 2-2 1-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 71.2 73.0
Avg Pts Against 70.0 75.7
Massey -0.2 (#164) -3.8 (#228)
Bradley-Terry -0.21 (#186) -0.86 (#246)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.15 (#179) -0.97 (#241)
RPI 0.503 (#172) 0.457 (#268)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU UTA
FG% 43.2% 44.3%
3PT% 31.5% 35.5%
REB / G 35.9 35.6
OREB / G 11.9 11.2
AST / TO 0.98 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.7% 51.8%
TOV% 17.5% 19.4%
ORB% 33.0% 32.3%
FT Rate 22.7% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.5% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 16.5%
DRB% 70.5% 68.0%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 24.9%

Game Analysis

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