Betting Lines
| Spread | UTA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UTA -300 CBU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +14 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -6.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -5.0 (+9.0) | 141.9 (-13.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -6.6 (+7.4) | 140.3 (-12.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -6.1 (+7.9) | 142.6 (-14.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -5.1 (+8.9) | 141.4 (-13.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | CBU 68 – 56 UTA |
| Jan 31, 2026 | CBU 87 – 77 UTA |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UTA 63 – 51 CBU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CBU 70 – 68 UTA |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UTA 82 – 79 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#139) | -1.0 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#141) | -0.49 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#128) | -0.46 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#131) | 0.464 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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