I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Western Athletic Conference · College Park Center · January 1, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money UTA +124 / CBU -148
Model Predictions
Spread Total UTA win
Actual UTA +12 114 Won
Massey UTA -1.1 (+10.9)
Massey Totals 128.0 (-14.0)
Bradley-Terry 46%
Weighted B-T 42%
Efficiency Plus ML CBU -0.1 (+12.1) 130.7 (-16.7) 43%
Baseline Tuned ML UTA -1.6 (+10.4) 128.0 (-14.0) 53%
Baseline ML UTA -0.7 (+11.3) 129.5 (-15.5) 53%
Baseline Plus ML UTA -0.5 (+11.5) 131.5 (-17.5) 48%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 CBU 6856 UTA
Jan 31, 2026 CBU 8777 UTA
Mar 9, 2025 CBU 7068 UTA
Feb 13, 2025 UTA 8279 CBU
Mar 8, 2024 UTA 7157 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UTA CBU
Overall 18-14 25-9
Conference 9-9 13-5
Home 9-4 15-0
Away 8-8 7-8
Neutral 1-2 3-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.7 72.6
Avg Pts Against 67.8 67.6
Massey 0.4 (#167) 3.2 (#125)
Bradley-Terry 0.54 (#128) 1.33 (#84)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.65 (#131) 1.65 (#89)
RPI 0.533 (#105) 0.551 (#91)
Shooting & Four Factors UTA CBU
FG% 44.1% 43.7%
3PT% 29.6% 31.3%
REB / G 34.9 40.9
OREB / G 11.1 14.9
AST / TO 0.74 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.0% 48.7%
TOV% 23.1% 19.0%
ORB% 34.4% 40.0%
FT Rate 28.3% 26.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 16.8%
DRB% 71.6% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 32.0% 26.6%

Game Analysis

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