Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UTA +124 CBU -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +12 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | UTA -1.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -0.5 (+11.5) | 131.5 (-17.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -0.1 (+12.1) | 130.7 (-16.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -1.6 (+10.4) | 128.0 (-14.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -0.7 (+11.3) | 129.5 (-15.5) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | CBU 68 – 56 UTA |
| Jan 31, 2026 | CBU 87 – 77 UTA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | CBU 70 – 68 UTA |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UTA 82 – 79 CBU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UTA 71 – 57 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 15-0 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#167) | 3.2 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#128) | 1.33 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#131) | 1.65 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#105) | 0.551 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTA | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 40.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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