Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -102 UNCO -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -0.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -0.8 (+9.2) | 156.2 (-2.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -0.3 (+10.3) | 153.5 (+0.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -0.9 (+9.1) | 153.9 (+0.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -1.1 (+8.9) | 157.1 (-3.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNCO 74 – 71 EWU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UNCO 95 – 76 EWU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCO 67 – 62 EWU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | EWU 85 – 76 UNCO |
| Jan 26, 2024 | EWU 77 – 74 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#187) | 0.9 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#229) | 0.01 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#211) | 0.13 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#246) | 0.499 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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