Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | EWU +175 UNCO -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -3.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-29.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -4.8 (-0.2) | 149.8 (-20.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -3.2 (-1.8) | 147.7 (-18.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -4.3 (-0.7) | 148.4 (-19.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -4.0 (-1.0) | 150.0 (-21.0) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EWU 82 – 72 UNCO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNCO 74 – 71 EWU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UNCO 95 – 76 EWU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | EWU 85 – 76 UNCO |
| Jan 26, 2024 | EWU 77 – 74 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-14 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#259) | 1.2 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#309) | 0.61 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#298) | 0.82 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#325) | 0.517 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 56.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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