Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -400 EWU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +19 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -9.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -8.8 (+10.2) | 152.0 (+19.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -6.5 (+12.5) | 150.9 (+20.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -8.3 (+10.7) | 149.8 (+21.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -7.6 (+11.4) | 150.7 (+20.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EWU 82 – 72 UNCO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNCO 74 – 71 EWU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCO 67 – 62 EWU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | EWU 85 – 76 UNCO |
| Jan 26, 2024 | EWU 77 – 74 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#138) | -4.8 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#133) | -1.18 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#121) | -1.34 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#147) | 0.433 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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