Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO +100 EWU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +9 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -0.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -1.5 (-10.5) | 157.5 (+3.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -0.8 (-8.2) | 155.2 (+5.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -1.0 (-10.0) | 158.9 (+2.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -1.0 (-10.0) | 158.9 (+2.1) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EWU 82 – 72 UNCO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNCO 74 – 71 EWU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UNCO 95 – 76 EWU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCO 67 – 62 EWU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | EWU 77 – 74 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-8 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#190) | 1.5 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#158) | 0.66 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#165) | 0.58 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#159) | 0.536 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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