Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -275 UNCO +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -8.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.6 (-18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -7.2 (-4.2) | 158.9 (-7.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -6.8 (-3.8) | 160.3 (-9.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -7.3 (-4.3) | 161.9 (-10.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -5.7 (-2.7) | 162.0 (-11.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EWU 82 – 72 UNCO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNCO 74 – 71 EWU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UNCO 95 – 76 EWU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCO 67 – 62 EWU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | EWU 85 – 76 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 10-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 78.2 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#118) | -1.4 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#106) | 0.25 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#117) | 0.23 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#106) | 0.518 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.9% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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