I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
Big Sky Conference · Bank of Colorado Arena · January 31, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread UNCO -6.5 Away covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money UNCO -270 / EWU +220
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNCO win
Actual UNCO +3 145 Won
Massey UNCO -7.3 (-4.3) — —
Massey Totals — 168.3 (-23.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 85% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNCO -6.4 (-3.4) 157.9 (-12.9) 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNCO -7.9 (-4.9) 156.5 (-11.5) 79% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNCO -5.2 (-2.2) 156.1 (-11.1) 72% ✓
Baseline ML UNCO -4.7 (-1.7) 157.6 (-12.6) 75% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 EWU 82 – 72 UNCO
Feb 21, 2025 UNCO 95 – 76 EWU
Jan 25, 2025 UNCO 67 – 62 EWU
Feb 25, 2024 EWU 85 – 76 UNCO
Jan 26, 2024 EWU 77 – 74 UNCO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNCO EWU
Overall 20-12 14-19
Conference 10-8 11-7
Home 11-3 8-4
Away 8-7 5-13
Neutral 1-2 1-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.8 77.7
Avg Pts Against 78.1 79.2
Massey -0.4 (#175) -4.5 (#237)
Bradley-Terry -0.43 (#210) -1.57 (#306)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.41 (#202) -1.81 (#291)
RPI 0.470 (#234) 0.407 (#331)
Shooting & Four Factors UNCO EWU
FG% 48.1% 45.0%
3PT% 35.7% 34.8%
REB / G 36.2 31.6
OREB / G 9.6 11.0
AST / TO 1.33 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.6% 51.1%
TOV% 16.8% 18.4%
ORB% 28.8% 31.9%
FT Rate 21.3% 25.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.6% 57.2%
Opp TOV% 12.5% 17.3%
DRB% 75.1% 67.2%
Opp FT Rate 30.5% 29.6%

Game Analysis

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