Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | CHSO +295 WIN -375 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +2 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | WIN -4.6 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -4.4 (+6.4) | 161.0 (+9.0) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -4.6 (+6.6) | 158.3 (+11.7) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -3.8 (+5.8) | 158.5 (+11.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -3.9 (+5.9) | 159.9 (+10.1) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | WIN 86 – 81 CHSO |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WIN 81 – 77 CHSO |
| Feb 6, 2025 | WIN 83 – 65 CHSO |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIN 102 – 97 CHSO |
| Feb 7, 2024 | WIN 67 – 46 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 13-3 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#250) | 2.2 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#310) | 0.42 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#297) | 0.33 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#308) | 0.565 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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