Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
| Money | WIN -375 CHSO +295 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WIN -6.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -3.9 (+0.1) | 162.3 (-4.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -5.3 (-1.3) | 162.5 (-4.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -3.2 (+0.8) | 157.5 (+0.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -3.3 (+0.7) | 158.4 (-0.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | WIN 86 – 81 CHSO |
| Feb 27, 2026 | CHSO 86 – 84 WIN |
| Feb 6, 2025 | WIN 83 – 65 CHSO |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIN 102 – 97 CHSO |
| Feb 7, 2024 | WIN 67 – 46 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIN | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 6-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#157) | -2.1 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#226) | -0.21 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#221) | -0.49 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#190) | 0.474 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIN | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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