Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +130 WIN -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +18 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | WIN -2.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -1.7 (-16.3) | 157.2 (-9.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -1.7 (-16.3) | 156.2 (-8.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -1.5 (-16.5) | 154.0 (-6.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -1.2 (-16.8) | 154.1 (-6.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | WIN 86 – 81 CHSO |
| Feb 27, 2026 | CHSO 86 – 84 WIN |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WIN 81 – 77 CHSO |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIN 102 – 97 CHSO |
| Feb 7, 2024 | WIN 67 – 46 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 11-5 |
| Home | 7-5 | 16-2 |
| Away | 3-14 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 82.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 79.8 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#280) | -2.1 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#270) | 0.05 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#276) | -0.05 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#279) | 0.504 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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