Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -850 CHST +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +17 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -13.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -10.1 (+6.9) | 141.3 (-12.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | LIU -11.3 (+5.7) | 138.7 (-9.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | LIU -11.0 (+6.0) | 139.7 (-10.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -10.6 (+6.4) | 141.0 (-12.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | LIU 79 – 75 CHST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIU 74 – 55 CHST |
| Mar 6, 2025 | LIU 68 – 57 CHST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CHST 73 – 67 LIU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LIU 53 – 39 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 5-6 |
| Away | 10-9 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#210) | -13.2 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#187) | -2.56 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#200) | -3.08 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#140) | 0.408 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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