Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | CHST +280 LIU -355 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +19 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -5.4 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (-28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -5.9 (-13.1) | 146.3 (-17.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -4.3 (-14.7) | 146.0 (-17.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -4.9 (-14.1) | 146.8 (-17.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -5.3 (-13.7) | 147.9 (-18.9) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | LIU 79 – 75 CHST |
| Feb 27, 2026 | LIU 73 – 56 CHST |
| Mar 6, 2025 | LIU 68 – 57 CHST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CHST 73 – 67 LIU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LIU 53 – 39 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-19 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#324) | -1.7 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#333) | -0.13 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#319) | -0.15 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#281) | 0.511 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.8% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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