Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | LIU -425 CHST +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -14.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -12.0 (-8.0) | 140.1 (+13.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -11.6 (-7.6) | 138.6 (+15.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -11.6 (-7.6) | 139.8 (+14.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -11.5 (-7.5) | 140.3 (+13.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | LIU 73 – 56 CHST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIU 74 – 55 CHST |
| Mar 6, 2025 | LIU 68 – 57 CHST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CHST 73 – 67 LIU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LIU 53 – 39 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-1 | 5-6 |
| Away | 10-9 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#209) | -13.7 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#185) | -2.63 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#187) | -3.15 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#129) | 0.407 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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