Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -1400 CHST +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +11 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -13.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -11.4 (-0.4) | 130.8 (-5.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -9.2 (+1.8) | 133.5 (-8.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -11.9 (-0.9) | 133.1 (-8.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -11.8 (-0.8) | 131.8 (-6.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | LIU 79 – 75 CHST |
| Feb 27, 2026 | LIU 73 – 56 CHST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIU 74 – 55 CHST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CHST 73 – 67 LIU |
| Jan 5, 2025 | LIU 53 – 39 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 4-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 3-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#288) | -17.7 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#279) | -2.80 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#287) | -3.44 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#256) | 0.413 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.0% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.