Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | UNF +240 FGCU -298 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -5.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.5 (-24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -4.5 (+10.5) | 156.6 (-10.6) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -4.4 (+10.4) | 155.5 (-9.5) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -4.2 (+10.2) | 156.9 (-10.9) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -4.8 (+10.8) | 155.7 (-9.7) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | FGCU 90 – 81 UNF |
| Feb 25, 2025 | FGCU 86 – 82 UNF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FGCU 84 – 70 UNF |
| Feb 29, 2024 | FGCU 79 – 60 UNF |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UNF 78 – 58 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-8 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.6 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#338) | -5.0 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#348) | -0.99 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.98 (#343) | -1.07 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#332) | 0.453 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 62.6% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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