Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -250 UNF +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +20 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -8.4 (-28.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -5.6 (-25.6) | 138.8 (-2.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -4.6 (-24.6) | 139.3 (-3.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -5.2 (-25.2) | 137.0 (-1.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -5.5 (-25.5) | 138.4 (-2.4) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNF 76 – 70 FGCU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | FGCU 90 – 81 UNF |
| Feb 25, 2025 | FGCU 86 – 82 UNF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FGCU 84 – 70 UNF |
| Feb 29, 2024 | FGCU 79 – 60 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 9-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#252) | -8.6 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#253) | -1.83 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#254) | -2.40 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#239) | 0.417 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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