Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -360 UNF +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +4 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -8.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -7.3 (-3.3) | 157.1 (+10.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -5.7 (-1.7) | 155.6 (+12.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -6.5 (-2.5) | 155.4 (+12.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -6.6 (-2.6) | 155.2 (+12.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNF 76 – 70 FGCU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | FGCU 90 – 81 UNF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FGCU 84 – 70 UNF |
| Feb 29, 2024 | FGCU 79 – 60 UNF |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UNF 78 – 58 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 85.7 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#164) | -5.5 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#176) | -0.42 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#184) | -0.61 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#175) | 0.495 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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