Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -1200 UNF +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +9 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -11.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -11.4 (-2.4) | 157.9 (+13.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -9.5 (-0.5) | 161.9 (+9.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -10.5 (-1.5) | 160.7 (+10.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -10.4 (-1.4) | 157.5 (+13.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNF 76 – 70 FGCU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | FGCU 86 – 82 UNF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FGCU 84 – 70 UNF |
| Feb 29, 2024 | FGCU 79 – 60 UNF |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UNF 78 – 58 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 89.6 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#236) | -13.4 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#285) | -2.24 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#259) | -2.85 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#281) | 0.426 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 61.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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