Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UNF -163 FGCU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +19 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | UNF -3.4 (-22.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -2.3 (-21.3) | 145.5 (-6.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -2.4 (-21.4) | 143.7 (-4.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -2.5 (-21.5) | 142.1 (-3.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -2.2 (-21.2) | 144.8 (-5.8) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNF 76 – 70 FGCU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | FGCU 90 – 81 UNF |
| Feb 25, 2025 | FGCU 86 – 82 UNF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FGCU 84 – 70 UNF |
| Jan 7, 2024 | UNF 78 – 58 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#259) | -4.9 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#238) | -1.02 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#232) | -1.12 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#260) | 0.439 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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