Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | TOW -265 ELON +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +2 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -5.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-31.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -4.1 (-2.1) | 139.4 (-25.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -4.4 (-2.4) | 138.2 (-24.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -4.8 (-2.8) | 140.0 (-26.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -5.1 (-3.1) | 139.6 (-25.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | TOW 72 – 59 ELON |
| Feb 21, 2025 | ELON 69 – 63 TOW |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TOW 80 – 55 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TOW 66 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 12, 2022 | TOW 86 – 50 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#173) | -2.8 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#186) | -0.43 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#181) | -0.80 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#131) | 0.495 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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