Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | ELON -135 TOW +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +13 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | ELON -4.6 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -3.1 (-16.1) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -2.1 (-15.1) | 138.4 (-7.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -2.9 (-15.9) | 137.4 (-6.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -3.2 (-16.2) | 136.9 (-5.9) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | TOW 58 – 56 ELON |
| Feb 21, 2025 | ELON 69 – 63 TOW |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TOW 80 – 55 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TOW 66 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 12, 2022 | TOW 86 – 50 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#157) | -0.8 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#139) | 0.01 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#154) | -0.12 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#120) | 0.520 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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