Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | ELON +105 TOW -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +6 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -3.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -1.3 (+4.7) | 133.2 (-1.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -0.2 (+6.2) | 133.7 (-1.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -1.1 (+4.9) | 132.4 (-0.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -1.4 (+4.6) | 134.0 (-2.0) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | TOW 58 – 56 ELON |
| Jan 23, 2026 | TOW 72 – 59 ELON |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TOW 80 – 55 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TOW 66 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 12, 2022 | TOW 86 – 50 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 16-2 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-1 |
| Away | 6-9 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#163) | -0.4 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#186) | 0.63 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#165) | 0.49 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#176) | 0.556 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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