Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | TOW -550 ELON +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +36 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -13.3 (+22.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -12.2 (+23.8) | 130.8 (+5.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -10.0 (+26.0) | 126.8 (+9.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -11.2 (+24.8) | 130.0 (+6.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -11.5 (+24.5) | 131.2 (+4.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | TOW 58 – 56 ELON |
| Jan 23, 2026 | TOW 72 – 59 ELON |
| Feb 21, 2025 | ELON 69 – 63 TOW |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TOW 80 – 55 ELON |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TOW 66 – 62 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 11-5 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#100) | -4.9 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#93) | -0.88 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#93) | -1.01 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#89) | 0.471 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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