Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | TOW -600 ELON +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +25 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -13.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -9.9 (+15.1) | 135.9 (-0.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -11.8 (+13.2) | 135.3 (-0.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -10.4 (+14.6) | 134.6 (+0.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -10.8 (+14.2) | 136.3 (-1.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | TOW 58 – 56 ELON |
| Jan 23, 2026 | TOW 72 – 59 ELON |
| Feb 21, 2025 | ELON 69 – 63 TOW |
| Jan 21, 2023 | TOW 66 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 12, 2022 | TOW 86 – 50 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-6 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.2 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#150) | -9.4 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#142) | -1.49 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#152) | -1.88 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#128) | 0.432 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 39.6% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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