Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | ELON +500 TOW -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +4 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | TOW -8.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -8.7 (+4.7) | 132.9 (-4.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -9.1 (+5.1) | 132.6 (-4.6) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -9.2 (+5.2) | 134.0 (-6.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -8.1 (+4.1) | 134.1 (-6.1) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | TOW 58 – 56 ELON |
| Jan 23, 2026 | TOW 72 – 59 ELON |
| Feb 21, 2025 | ELON 69 – 63 TOW |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TOW 80 – 55 ELON |
| Feb 12, 2022 | TOW 86 – 50 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#341) | 1.0 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.48 (#362) | 0.53 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.60 (#362) | 0.63 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.348 (#359) | 0.517 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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