Betting Lines
| Spread | DEN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | ORU +120 DEN -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +22 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | DEN -5.2 (+27.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEN -5.6 (+27.6) | 150.9 (+31.1) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEN -4.4 (+26.4) | 152.4 (+29.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEN -5.0 (+27.0) | 149.9 (+32.1) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEN -4.9 (+26.9) | 152.5 (+29.5) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | DEN 98 – 87 ORU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DEN 71 – 60 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | DEN 70 – 68 ORU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | ORU 82 – 76 DEN |
| Dec 31, 2023 | ORU 89 – 86 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 84.0 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#321) | -2.9 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#339) | -0.59 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.63 (#336) | -0.79 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#351) | 0.482 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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