Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -138 DEN +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -2.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -2.1 (+3.9) | 165.6 (-7.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -3.2 (+2.8) | 160.1 (-2.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -2.7 (+3.3) | 161.2 (-3.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -2.2 (+3.8) | 164.6 (-6.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | ORU 102 – 80 DEN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DEN 98 – 87 ORU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DEN 71 – 60 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | DEN 70 – 68 ORU |
| Dec 31, 2023 | ORU 89 – 86 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 82.1 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#215) | -1.7 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#231) | -0.59 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#237) | -0.71 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#240) | 0.466 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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