Betting Lines
| Spread | DEN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | DEN -150 ORU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEN +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | DEN -3.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEN -2.3 (+8.7) | 149.1 (-18.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEN -2.8 (+8.2) | 145.9 (-14.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEN -2.7 (+8.3) | 147.3 (-16.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEN -2.7 (+8.3) | 150.3 (-19.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | ORU 102 – 80 DEN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DEN 98 – 87 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | DEN 70 – 68 ORU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | ORU 82 – 76 DEN |
| Dec 31, 2023 | ORU 89 – 86 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 3-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 82.0 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#319) | -9.6 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#322) | -2.41 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#340) | -2.67 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#332) | 0.390 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.4% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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