Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -250 DEN +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEN +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -4.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -3.7 (-5.7) | 150.4 (-12.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -3.1 (-5.1) | 147.5 (-9.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -3.0 (-5.0) | 148.2 (-10.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -2.9 (-4.9) | 150.6 (-12.6) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | ORU 102 – 80 DEN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DEN 98 – 87 ORU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DEN 71 – 60 ORU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | ORU 82 – 76 DEN |
| Dec 31, 2023 | ORU 89 – 86 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 5-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 0-15 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.0 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#324) | -11.3 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#331) | -2.19 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.57 (#332) | -3.53 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#337) | 0.378 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 28.9 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 36.8% |
Game Analysis
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