Betting Lines
| Spread | DEN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.0 Over |
| Money | DEN -145 ORU +122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +3 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | DEN -10.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEN -5.6 (-8.6) | 154.5 (+20.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEN -8.1 (-11.1) | 155.7 (+19.3) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEN -8.4 (-11.4) | 156.9 (+18.1) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEN -9.0 (-12.0) | 157.8 (+17.2) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | ORU 102 – 80 DEN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DEN 98 – 87 ORU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | DEN 71 – 60 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | DEN 70 – 68 ORU |
| Feb 4, 2024 | ORU 82 – 76 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.1 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#108) | -2.5 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#136) | -1.20 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#148) | -1.67 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#149) | 0.445 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 61.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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