Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Ohio Valley Conference · First Community Arena · February 27, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -13.5 Home covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money SIUE -1350 / WIU +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIUE win
Actual SIUE +20 114 Won
Massey SIUE -16.4 (+3.6)
Massey Totals 130.4 (-16.4)
Bradley-Terry 96%
Weighted B-T 98%
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -12.7 (+7.3) 134.9 (-20.9) 86%
Model 4 ML SIUE -11.5 (+8.5) 134.9 (-20.9) 85%
Model 3 ML SIUE -11.5 (+8.5) 132.2 (-18.2) 86%
Baseline ML SIUE -12.9 (+7.1) 132.0 (-18.0) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 22, 2025 SIUE 6661 WIU
Feb 1, 2025 SIUE 6965 WIU
Jan 3, 2025 SIUE 7766 WIU
Mar 2, 2024 WIU 7665 SIUE
Dec 31, 2023 WIU 7870 SIUE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIUE WIU
Overall 19-13 5-26
Conference 12-8 1-19
Home 10-5 4-11
Away 8-7 1-15
Neutral 1-1 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 67.7 63.2
Avg Pts Against 65.9 78.5
Massey -6.1 (#263) -19.5 (#362)
Bradley-Terry -0.93 (#252) -3.54 (#363)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.20 (#253) -4.41 (#363)
RPI 0.445 (#286) 0.362 (#362)
Shooting & Four Factors SIUE WIU
FG% 42.8% 39.7%
3PT% 34.7% 30.6%
REB / G 35.3 30.7
OREB / G 10.5 9.8
AST / TO 1.02 0.67
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.9% 44.6%
TOV% 17.9% 17.5%
ORB% 30.1% 27.6%
FT Rate 21.2% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.8% 54.1%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 15.0%
DRB% 67.3% 64.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.7% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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