Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
Ohio Valley Conference · First Community Arena · January 3, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -7.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money SIUE -340 / WIU +270
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIUE win
Actual SIUE +11 143 Won
Massey SIUE -9.9 (+1.1) — —
Massey Totals — 129.4 (+13.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 72% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -5.9 (+5.1) 133.8 (+9.2) 74% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SIUE -6.6 (+4.4) 135.6 (+7.4) 69% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -6.2 (+4.8) 134.7 (+8.3) 70% ✓
Baseline ML SIUE -5.8 (+5.2) 134.4 (+8.6) 69% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 SIUE 67 – 47 WIU
Dec 22, 2025 SIUE 66 – 61 WIU
Feb 1, 2025 SIUE 69 – 65 WIU
Mar 2, 2024 WIU 76 – 65 SIUE
Dec 31, 2023 WIU 78 – 70 SIUE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIUE WIU
Overall 22-12 12-19
Conference 13-7 6-14
Home 12-3 8-7
Away 7-8 4-11
Neutral 3-1 0-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 W2
Avg Pts For 69.6 66.6
Avg Pts Against 68.3 73.3
Massey -4.0 (#231) -9.8 (#324)
Bradley-Terry -1.03 (#269) -1.20 (#281)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.45 (#272) -2.61 (#330)
RPI 0.440 (#287) 0.421 (#309)
Shooting & Four Factors SIUE WIU
FG% 40.7% 42.2%
3PT% 31.8% 33.8%
REB / G 37.7 31.6
OREB / G 12.2 10.4
AST / TO 1.13 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 49.0%
TOV% 17.3% 17.2%
ORB% 31.5% 30.1%
FT Rate 14.9% 16.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 53.9%
Opp TOV% 16.1% 14.5%
DRB% 70.6% 69.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.1% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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