Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | WIU +160 SIUE -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -5.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -6.2 (+2.2) | 131.1 (+2.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -6.5 (+2.5) | 132.1 (+1.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -6.2 (+2.2) | 131.6 (+2.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -6.1 (+2.1) | 130.4 (+3.6) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SIUE 67 – 47 WIU |
| Dec 22, 2025 | SIUE 66 – 61 WIU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | SIUE 77 – 66 WIU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WIU 76 – 65 SIUE |
| Dec 31, 2023 | WIU 78 – 70 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#352) | -4.8 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#342) | -0.74 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.62 (#353) | -1.14 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#351) | 0.469 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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