We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Ohio Valley Conference · Western Hall · December 22, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SIUE -6.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money WIU +225 / SIUE -278
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIU win
Actual SIUE +5 127 Lost
Massey SIUE -5.1 (+0.1)
Massey Totals 138.4 (-11.4)
Bradley-Terry 29%
Weighted B-T 18%
Efficiency Plus ML SIUE -5.4 (+0.4) 138.0 (-11.0) 28%
Baseline Tuned ML SIUE -5.9 (+0.9) 137.4 (-10.4) 28%
Baseline ML SIUE -5.2 (+0.2) 136.6 (-9.6) 27%
Baseline Plus ML SIUE -4.8 (-0.2) 138.0 (-11.0) 29%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 27, 2026 SIUE 6747 WIU
Feb 1, 2025 SIUE 6965 WIU
Jan 3, 2025 SIUE 7766 WIU
Mar 2, 2024 WIU 7665 SIUE
Dec 31, 2023 WIU 7870 SIUE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIU SIUE
Overall 5-26 19-13
Conference 1-19 12-8
Home 4-11 10-5
Away 1-15 8-7
Neutral 0-0 1-1
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 63.2 67.7
Avg Pts Against 78.5 65.9
Massey -14.6 (#351) -5.4 (#252)
Bradley-Terry -2.66 (#341) -1.07 (#259)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.97 (#344) -1.70 (#272)
RPI 0.383 (#343) 0.413 (#313)
Shooting & Four Factors WIU SIUE
FG% 40.5% 42.0%
3PT% 29.5% 32.6%
REB / G 32.9 36.4
OREB / G 11.1 11.6
AST / TO 0.55 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.8% 47.7%
TOV% 18.2% 16.0%
ORB% 30.3% 30.7%
FT Rate 24.9% 20.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.5% 47.9%
Opp TOV% 15.1% 17.1%
DRB% 66.0% 67.3%
Opp FT Rate 27.9% 25.9%

Game Analysis

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