Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | MEM -120 WICH +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +6 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -0.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -0.6 (-6.6) | 142.5 (+27.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -0.8 (-6.8) | 145.2 (+24.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -0.4 (-6.4) | 144.7 (+25.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -0.2 (-6.2) | 144.4 (+25.6) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | WICH 74 – 59 MEM |
| Mar 14, 2025 | MEM 83 – 80 WICH |
| Feb 16, 2025 | WICH 84 – 79 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MEM 61 – 53 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | WICH 71 – 65 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#108) | 6.9 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#141) | 0.78 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#123) | 0.95 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#173) | 0.539 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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