Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | WICH +280 MEM -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +5 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -7.7 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -6.0 (+11.0) | 146.5 (+16.5) | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -5.9 (+10.9) | 146.1 (+16.9) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -5.7 (+10.7) | 145.0 (+18.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -6.0 (+11.0) | 146.7 (+16.3) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WICH 88 – 82 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WICH 74 – 59 MEM |
| Mar 14, 2025 | MEM 83 – 80 WICH |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MEM 61 – 53 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2024 | WICH 71 – 65 MEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 16-2 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#142) | 11.9 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#153) | 3.27 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#152) | 3.79 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#145) | 0.656 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 40.1% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.